Bright-Retrospective
0x44a93b418f5af79143c8b6d8b7e5cd84cb9d6c6f
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$22.59
Total PnL
$-7.99
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
23 shares @ 59.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 30, 2026$22.59
$9.14
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end October 15+?
333 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-17.00
- YES
Will there be 700k or more rides on the DC metro on Jan 20?
134 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2025$0.00
$-0.13
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?$13.45May 24, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Government shutdown end October 15+?$17.00Oct 11, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 700k or more rides on the DC metro on Jan 20?$0.08Jan 24, 21:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 700k or more rides on the DC metro on Jan 20?$0.00Jan 24, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 700k or more rides on the DC metro on Jan 20?$0.05Jan 24, 20:31 UTC
- TRADESELLFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$98.74Jan 24, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2025 meeting?$98.85Jan 23, 10:16 UTC
- TRADESELLDemocrats win popular vote by 7% or more?$184.37Nov 12, 21:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Belichick head coach the Falcons in the 2024-25 NFL season?$0.00Nov 12, 21:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocrats win popular vote by 7% or more?$184.37Nov 12, 21:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pete Buttigieg be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?$0.00Aug 15, 12:22 UTC
- REDEEMDemocratic ticket: Male President + Female VP$0.00Aug 15, 12:22 UTC
- REDEEMAnother country wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?$0.00Aug 15, 12:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Wes Moore be the Democratic Presidential Nominee?$0.00Aug 15, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Belichick head coach the Falcons in the 2024-25 NFL season?$0.13Aug 3, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYDemocratic ticket: Male President + Female VP$0.14Aug 3, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYAnother country wins the most medals in 2024 Paris Olympics?$0.14Aug 3, 18:46 UTC
- TRADESELLAndrew Tate flee the EU?$95.90Aug 3, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYAndrew Tate flee the EU?$96.00Aug 3, 18:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill another man be the 2024 Democratic VP nominee?$95.90Aug 3, 18:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $58.66
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 3, 18:31 UTC
- Last active
- May 24, 18:31 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".