Wasteful-Sensor
0x44aafe6c5738defb4d09fcef8fe643731dc4d1d5
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
65
Open notional
$3.5K
Total PnL
$-2.6K
Realised
$-163.18
Win rate
38%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 65- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch?
1435 shares @ 74.4¢·now 51.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$732.10
$-335.99
- YES
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2026?
449 shares @ 77.8¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$366.12
$16.68
- YES
Will John Brennan be arrested before 2027?
729 shares @ 38.0¢·now 36.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$265.95
$-10.74
- NO
Metamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?
341 shares @ 69.9¢·now 70.3¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$239.67
$1.56
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch?
1082 shares @ 44.9¢·now 21.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$227.22
$-258.63
- NO
Will Rihanna release an album in 2026?
310 shares @ 64.7¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$212.48
$11.67
- NO
Will Steve Hilton finish first in the 2026 California Governor primary election?
200 shares @ 86.0¢·now 99.8¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$199.50
$27.50
- $3,000
Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first?
393 shares @ 53.0¢·now 44.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$174.88
$-33.41
- NO
Fed rate hike in 2026?
301 shares @ 64.4¢·now 57.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$172.99
$-20.72
- YES
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?
600 shares @ 23.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$159.00
$21.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Scotland win on 2026-06-13? AND Will Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$203.64Jun 13, 21:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Switzerland (-1.5)$202.28Jun 13, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYQatar vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5$101.32Jun 13, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLMetamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?$4.82Jun 13, 18:38 UTC
- TRADESELLMetamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?$4.82Jun 13, 18:33 UTC
- TRADESELLPuffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?$25.69Jun 13, 12:55 UTC
- TRADESELLPuffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?$12.24Jun 13, 12:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$0.00Jun 12, 23:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$100.00Jun 12, 23:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-06-12?$54.75Jun 12, 22:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$2.21Jun 12, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada win on 2026-06-12?$6.79Jun 12, 20:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bosnia and Herzegovina win on 2026-06-12?$54.00Jun 12, 20:15 UTC
- TRADESELLMetamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?$4.82Jun 12, 11:23 UTC
- TRADESELLMetamask FDV above $700M one day after launch?$0.90Jun 12, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Korea Republic win on 2026-06-11?$62.00Jun 12, 01:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 12, 00:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mexico win on 2026-06-11?$100.00Jun 11, 23:32 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $42.38
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 6, 05:01 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:11 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.