Ill-Babushka
0x44ab68a9e1272216005366a9a955e5320d28bef3
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-8.4K
Realised
$16.0K
Win rate
65%
192 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET
765 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-25.51
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET
636 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-52.49
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
613 shares @ 7.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-47.62
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET
587 shares @ 20.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-121.65
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 2, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
540 shares @ 44.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 2, 2026$0.00
$-240.68
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
536 shares @ 22.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-120.62
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
511 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-9.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 31, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
505 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-90.71
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
452 shares @ 41.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-188.61
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 5, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET
437 shares @ 37.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 5, 2026$0.00
$-164.62
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$8.44Jul 22, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$18.20Jul 22, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$1.09Jul 22, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$0.01Jul 22, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$4.28Jul 22, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$3.53Jul 22, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$3.61Jul 22, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$3.70Jul 22, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$4.54Jul 22, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$3.53Jul 22, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$19.60Jul 22, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$19.95Jul 22, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$19.25Jul 22, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$3.86Jul 22, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$2.75Jul 22, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$1.20Jul 22, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$4.03Jul 22, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$0.55Jul 22, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$2.30Jul 22, 21:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - July 22, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$2.39Jul 22, 21:56 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
81/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
65% win rate over 192 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
48 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 27/100.
192 closed markets, 65% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $7.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 21:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 22, 21:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 192 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.