Failing-Stick
0x44ba511ff6daf3e78f524ca358c6b5c47dca857c
Wallet digest
Activity score
71/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
51
Open notional
$120.83
Total PnL
$-742.06
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 51- YES
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?
89 shares @ 84.1¢·now 88.5¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$78.82
$3.92
- YES
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
140 shares @ 40.6¢·now 29.9¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$42.01
$-14.99
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down on March 14?
1320 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2026$0.00
$-17.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 17, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
273 shares @ 11.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-31.57
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET
267 shares @ 11.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-31.88
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET
149 shares @ 34.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-50.94
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET
108 shares @ 35.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-38.57
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
107 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-38.55
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - March 18, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET
106 shares @ 35.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-37.52
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - March 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Neymar play in the World Cup?$75.26May 17, 04:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$5.00Apr 27, 05:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$5.00Apr 27, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - April 27, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET$15.00Apr 27, 05:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$27.00Apr 4, 07:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$23.95Mar 26, 06:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 26, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET$8.00Mar 26, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$30.00Mar 26, 04:30 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$30.63Mar 25, 15:48 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$0.00Mar 18, 07:15 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 18, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$0.00Mar 18, 07:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 18, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET$20.00Mar 18, 07:10 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 18, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET$0.00Mar 18, 07:07 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 18, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET$0.00Mar 18, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 18, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$3.00Mar 18, 07:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 18, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$10.00Mar 18, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 18, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET$25.00Mar 18, 07:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$2.00Mar 18, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$10.00Mar 18, 07:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 18, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET$2.00Mar 18, 07:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $13.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 06:15 UTC
- Last active
- May 17, 04:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".