Mushy-Stopwatch
0x44d2f067f7f52591a2c15723a2ed31e9025b0c43
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
57
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-668.89
Realised
$-8.98
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 57- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $4000 August 18–24?
13000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 25, 2025$0.00
$-20.98
- NO
Will there be a US Government shutdown?
10343 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-37.68
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 75+ bps after January 2025 meeting?
7770 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2025$0.00
$-7.77
- NO
Will MicroStrategy purchase Bitcoin August 19-25?
7228 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 26, 2025$0.00
$-47.29
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $116,000 on October 18?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $120K and $122K on August 22?
4526 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 22, 2025$0.00
$-9.05
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 23, 7PM ET
4400 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 24, 2025$0.00
$-4.40
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after January 2025 meeting?
4000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 29, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - August 25, 6AM ET
3720 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 25, 2025$0.00
$-17.72
- NO
Israel strikes Yemen by August 31?
3500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Gold close between $3500 and $3600 at the end of 2025?$2.70Nov 21, 16:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold close between $3500 and $3600 at the end of 2025?$8.98Nov 21, 16:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold close between $3500 and $3600 at the end of 2025?$1.66Nov 21, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$2.33Oct 29, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET$0.55Oct 29, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET$1.37Oct 29, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET$0.20Oct 29, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET$0.02Oct 29, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET$0.10Oct 29, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET$0.10Oct 29, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET$0.10Oct 29, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 29, 12PM ET$1.10Oct 29, 16:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $135k in October?$6.66Oct 29, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $135k in October?$8.64Oct 21, 00:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $135k in October?$15.40Oct 21, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $135k in October?$12.12Oct 21, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $170,000 by December 31, 2025?$36.00Oct 21, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1PM ET$3.00Oct 20, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1PM ET$5.00Oct 20, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 1PM ET$6.00Oct 20, 17:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $8.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 17, 23:53 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 21, 16:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".