0x44d389960f1c0926d67b01000dc1445589f1f4ff
0x44d389960f1c0926d67b01000dc1445589f1f4ff
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$304.79
Total PnL
$-22.30
Realised
$0.93
Win rate
75%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
70 shares @ 89.0¢·now 96.7¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$68.04
$5.39
- NO
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
70 shares @ 89.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$60.90
$-1.76
- NO
Will Anthropic be acquired before 2027?
19 shares @ 90.9¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.55
$0.66
- NO
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
17 shares @ 90.0¢·now 99.2¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$17.26
$1.59
- NO
Anysphere (Cursor) IPO before 2027?
17 shares @ 89.6¢·now 98.7¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.82
$1.53
- NO
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026?
17 shares @ 88.8¢·now 96.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.72
$1.40
- NO
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?
17 shares @ 90.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Oct 10, 2026$15.58
$-0.09
- NO
Will the New York Yankees win the 2026 World Series?
17 shares @ 91.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$14.89
$-0.77
- NO
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
13 shares @ 89.0¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.27
$0.34
- NO
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?
9 shares @ 89.0¢·now 96.9¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.64
$0.70
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 27, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMTampa Bay Rays vs. Boston Red Sox$16.32Jul 24, 04:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$17.57Jul 24, 04:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 24, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:19 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
20/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
75% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
2 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 2
- Avg trade size
- $4.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 1, 00:16 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.