0x44d389960f1c0926d67b01000dc1445589f1f4ff
0x44d389960f1c0926d67b01000dc1445589f1f4ff
Activity score
81/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
122
Open notional
$1.3K
Total PnL
$-236.26
Realised
$2.51
Win rate
53%
15 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 122- NO
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House
70 shares @ 89.0¢·now 85.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$60.19
$-2.46
- YES
Will Byron Donalds be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?
70 shares @ 89.0¢·now 83.5¢·exp Aug 18, 2026$58.78
$-3.87
- YES
Will Kanye West visit Israel by June 30?
314 shares @ 13.6¢·now 13.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$40.78
$-1.74
- YES
Will AS Monaco FC win on 2026-05-02?
38 shares @ 38.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$38.00
$23.44
- YES
Will Olympique Lyonnais win on 2026-05-03?
38 shares @ 26.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$37.98
$28.10
- TAMPA BAY RAYS
San Francisco Giants vs. Tampa Bay Rays
37 shares @ 38.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$36.98
$22.59
- NO
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-05-03?
36 shares @ 26.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 3, 2026$36.00
$26.40
- NO
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?
38 shares @ 89.3¢·now 91.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$35.07
$0.81
- NO
Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026?
39 shares @ 88.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$35.04
$0.78
- NO
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?
39 shares @ 28.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$32.51
$21.48
Recent activity
- REDEEMToronto Blue Jays vs. Minnesota Twins$0.0014m ago
- REDEEMCincinnati Reds vs. Pittsburgh Pirates$27.0014m ago
- TRADEBUYPhoenix Mercury vs. Las Vegas Aces$1.781h ago
- TRADEBUYNew York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun$4.771h ago
- TRADEBUYCleveland Guardians vs. Athletics$9.921h ago
- TRADEBUYNew York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun$5.011h ago
- TRADEBUYNew York Liberty vs. Connecticut Sun$4.951h ago
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$5.001h ago
- TRADESELLWill Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?$1.652h ago
- TRADEBUYWill CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-03?$6.162h ago
- TRADEBUYWill CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-03?$0.332h ago
- TRADEBUYWill CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-03?$1.212h ago
- TRADEBUYWill CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-03?$2.242h ago
- TRADEBUYWill CR Flamengo win on 2026-05-03?$8.822h ago
- TRADEBUYHouston Astros vs. Boston Red Sox$5.022h ago
- TRADEBUYCleveland Guardians vs. Athletics$10.062h ago
- TRADEBUYDallas Wings vs. Indiana Fever$4.902h ago
- TRADEBUYBaltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees$4.472h ago
- TRADEBUYKansas City Royals vs. Seattle Mariners$4.752h ago
- TRADEBUYMagic vs. Pistons$9.932h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $5.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 4h ago
- Last active
- 14m ago
- Win rate sample
- 15 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".