Faraway-Saloon
0x44d9200a6b0106d041f9460fa84d054736c14c1a
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
19
Open notional
$71.1K
Total PnL
$-12.0K
Realised
$-407.58
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House
60726 shares @ 45.6¢·now 43.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$26.4K
$-1.3K
- YES
Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
23421 shares @ 45.6¢·now 43.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$10.2K
$-497.92
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
10000 shares @ 83.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.4K
$1.1K
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
10325 shares @ 54.8¢·now 91.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$9.4K
$3.8K
- NO
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections?
16115 shares @ 46.4¢·now 44.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$7.2K
$-302.03
- NO
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027?
4091 shares @ 91.2¢·now 97.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.0K
$237.63
- YES
Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?
3145 shares @ 38.0¢·now 41.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.3K
$110.08
- YES
Will the Republican Party hold 47 or fewer Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections?
4900 shares @ 24.5¢·now 23.5¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$1.2K
$-49.47
- YES
Blue tsunami in 2026?
1913 shares @ 47.9¢·now 44.5¢·exp Nov 30, 2026$851.15
$-65.40
- NO
Ethereum all time high by December 31, 2026?
632 shares @ 80.0¢·now 94.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$597.25
$91.64
Recent activity
- YIELD$3.90Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$3.90Jul 27, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$3.90Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$3.90Jul 25, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$3.90Jul 24, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$3.90Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$3.88Jul 22, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$3.88Jul 21, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$3.89Jul 20, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$3.94Jul 19, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$3.98Jul 18, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$4.00Jul 17, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$4.00Jul 16, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$4.00Jul 15, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$3.96Jul 14, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$3.97Jul 13, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$4.02Jul 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$4.01Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$4.00Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$3.97Jul 9, 00:12 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 2 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
15 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 15
- Avg trade size
- $36.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 28, 16:37 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.