Identical-Refreshments
0x44df9006d85166290c0d67057c0ab3f184624a3a
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$56.21
Total PnL
$-54.44
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will Elon tweet less than 90 times July 18–25?
56 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 25, 2025$56.21
$0.06
- YES
Will Michelle Obama be D-nom for VP on Election Day?
800 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-0.80
- YES
Will another party win the most seats in the 2024 Saskatchewan general election?
350 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 28, 2024$0.00
$-0.70
- YES
Will Gretchen Whitmer be D-nom for VP on Election Day?
300 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-0.30
- YES
Will Solana reach $250 in July?
194 shares @ 3.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Will XRP reach $5.0 in July?
133 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $10k in 2024?
123 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-3.70
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4000 in July?
123 shares @ 10.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2025$0.00
$-13.00
- YES
Will Ethereum reach $4500 in July?
40 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Ethereum all time high in 2024?
32 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 30, 2024$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet less than 90 times July 18–25?$56.15Jul 20, 15:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $250 in July?$7.00Jul 20, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $5.0 in July?$8.00Jul 20, 15:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4500 in July?$6.00Jul 20, 15:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $3700 in July?$77.15Jul 20, 15:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $3700 in July?$20.83Jul 15, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $4000 in July?$13.00Jul 15, 23:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin above $68,000 on November 1?$12.12Jul 15, 23:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump tweet 50-59 times Oct 25 - Nov 1?$19.36Jul 15, 23:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump tweet 50-59 times Oct 25 - Nov 1?$19.00Oct 30, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill another party win the most seats in the 2024 Saskatchewan general election?$0.70Oct 30, 14:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum all time high in 2024?$1.00Oct 30, 14:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSolana above $170 on November 1?$6.00Oct 30, 14:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill BC NDP win the most seats in the 2024 British Columbia general election?$0.10Oct 30, 14:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump tweet 20-29 times Oct 25 - Nov 1?$12.04Oct 30, 14:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 150-174 times Oct 25 - Nov 1?$16.92Oct 30, 14:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet 150-174 times Oct 25 - Nov 1?$16.90Oct 28, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump tweet 20-29 times Oct 25 - Nov 1?$12.00Oct 28, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BC NDP win the most seats in the 2024 British Columbia general election?$0.10Oct 28, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gretchen Whitmer be D-nom for VP on Election Day?$0.30Oct 28, 13:31 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $10.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 16, 13:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 20, 15:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".