Unknown-Clavier
0x44df9a1ce2d08ea8c45b316e530b9f45d9c760f2
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
3
Open notional
$517.90
Total PnL
$10.22
Realised
$0.27
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
518 shares @ 96.2¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$507.90
$9.58
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?
5 shares @ 96.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 9, 2026$5.00
$0.17
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 10?
5 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 10, 2026$5.00
$0.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 2 to June 9, 2026?$4.84Jun 9, 05:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$11.74Jun 9, 05:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 29°C on June 10?$4.81Jun 9, 05:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Vance say "America" 20+ times during Air Force Academy Address?$0.00Jun 9, 05:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$5.87May 28, 02:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vance say "America" 20+ times during Air Force Academy Address?$5.42May 28, 02:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?$5.73May 28, 02:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?$11.56May 28, 02:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?$10.72May 2, 02:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on April 9?$5.60Apr 24, 10:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 16°C on April 9?$5.58Apr 9, 01:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $10,000 by end of June?$5.71Apr 9, 01:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on March 28?$5.70Apr 9, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Shanghai be 17°C on March 28?$5.68Mar 28, 00:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$6.73Mar 28, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$522.37Mar 27, 03:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$517.87Mar 27, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?$518.92Mar 25, 22:14 UTC
- TRADESELLMiami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegula$1.1KMar 25, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLMiami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Jessica Pegula$3.00Mar 25, 19:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
8/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $167.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 24, 18:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 9, 05:24 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.