Legal-Motor
0x44e6073387f0e8c1792c4f2cbfe4af2382bf24f3
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$231.36
Total PnL
$-114.71
Realised
$5.37
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
457 shares @ 11.8¢·now 14.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$66.92
$13.02
- YES
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
2941 shares @ 1.7¢·now 1.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$57.35
$7.36
- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
401 shares @ 13.7¢·now 13.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$55.60
$0.60
- UNDER
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 0.5
489 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$46.48
$-2.45
- YES
Will Curaçao win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.50
$-2.50
- YES
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
1000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.50
$-2.50
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
318 shares @ 32.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-103.61
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET
63 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET
54 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSwitzerland vs. Canada: O/U 0.5$50.25Jun 24, 14:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$49.58Jun 24, 14:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET$108.50Jun 24, 10:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET$15.80Jun 24, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET$15.76Jun 24, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$51.34Jun 24, 06:38 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$191.60Jun 24, 06:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET$117.25Jun 24, 06:32 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$117.67Jun 24, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET$44.74Jun 24, 06:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$44.60Jun 24, 06:18 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. Ghana: 1st Half O/U 0.5$0.00Jun 24, 06:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET$0.00Jun 24, 06:18 UTC
- REDEEMPanama vs. Croatia: 1st Half O/U 0.5$0.00Jun 24, 06:18 UTC
- REDEEMPortugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 2.5$0.00Jun 24, 06:18 UTC
- REDEEMEngland vs. Ghana: O/U 1.5$0.00Jun 24, 06:18 UTC
- REDEEMArgentina vs. Austria: O/U 2.5$0.00Jun 24, 06:18 UTC
- REDEEMPortugal vs. Uzbekistan: O/U 3.5$0.00Jun 24, 06:18 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - June 24, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET$0.00Jun 24, 06:18 UTC
- REDEEMColombia vs. DR Congo: O/U 2.5$0.00Jun 24, 06:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
15/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
33% win rate over 3 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 61/100.
3 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $46.16
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 23, 19:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 24, 14:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.