Outstanding-Stain
0x44e641e5eabb5687fe2338540e18b7d610579d9e
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
92
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-23.3K
Realised
$-201.85
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 92- NO
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 28?
13500 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-79.99
- PACKERS
Packers vs. Bears
9236 shares @ 55.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.1K
- RAVENS
Spread: Ravens (-3.5)
4902 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.5K
- NO
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 22?
2000 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-26.00
- YES
Will Jensen Huang be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
1462 shares @ 23.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-346.63
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
1100 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.0K
- PANTHERS
Panthers vs. Saints
836 shares @ 58.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 14, 2025$0.00
$-490.00
- NO
US seizes an Iran-linked oil tanker by Feb 28?
760 shares @ 65.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-498.60
- YES
Will 'Clair Obscur: Expedition 33' win Game of the Year in the 2025 Steam Awards?
757 shares @ 66.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2026$0.00
$-500.79
- NO
Will Axiom be accused of insider trading?
729 shares @ 68.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-499.20
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?$5.92Apr 28, 21:03 UTC
- TRADESELLKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$198.60Apr 28, 21:03 UTC
- REDEEMKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?$200.00Apr 28, 21:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?$178.00Apr 3, 15:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?$156.00Apr 3, 06:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$123.86Apr 1, 21:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 7?$877.14Apr 1, 21:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?$1.2KApr 1, 20:18 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$1.5KApr 1, 20:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$3.25Mar 23, 16:53 UTC
- REWARD$3.25Mar 22, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$336.91Mar 21, 22:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?$182.24Mar 21, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?$45.56Mar 21, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?$597.78Mar 21, 19:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?$13.67Mar 21, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?$161.15Mar 21, 16:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$1.0KMar 19, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?$41.38Mar 19, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire before Trump visits China?$1.50Mar 19, 05:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $312.85
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 3, 10:53 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 28, 21:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".