Medium-Dawn
0x44ebf80e6324f0fdcab9c61891898fa18f36c390
Wallet digest
Activity score
49/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-153.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will Virgil van Dijk win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Lautaro Martínez win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
1097 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Pope Leo visit the U.S. first?
403 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Pope Leo visit another country first?
296 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will Nuno Mendes win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
263 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Biden diagnosed with prostate cancer while in office?
214 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?
197 shares @ 5.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Mohamed Salah win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
182 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Vitinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?
127 shares @ 5.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 26, 2025$0.00
$-7.00
- YES
Negative GDP growth in Q2 2025?
118 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Ousmane Dembele win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$15.00Sep 2, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nuno Mendes win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$5.00Jul 9, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Virgil van Dijk win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$3.00Jul 9, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lautaro Martínez win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$3.00Jul 9, 09:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Vitinha win the 2025 Ballon d'Or?$7.00Jul 9, 09:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump announce Arthur Laffer as next Fed Chair?$0.00Jul 9, 09:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump announce Larry Kudlow as next Fed Chair?$0.00Jul 9, 09:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump announce Kevin Hassett as next Fed Chair?$0.00Jul 9, 09:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump announce Judy Shelton as next Fed Chair?$0.00Jul 9, 09:36 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping before July?$0.00Jul 1, 16:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk's net worth be between $380b and $390b on June 30?$0.00Jul 1, 16:19 UTC
- REDEEMAlan Garber out as Harvard President before July?$0.00Jul 1, 16:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Max Verstappen win the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix?$0.00Jun 16, 05:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix?$0.00Jun 16, 05:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Yuki Tsunoda win the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix?$0.00Jun 16, 05:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alexander Albon win the 2025 Canadian Grand Prix?$0.00Jun 16, 05:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Leroy Sane sign with a new club during the transfer window?$0.04Jun 12, 05:49 UTC
- REDEEMTrump x Elon talk by Monday?$0.00Jun 10, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pope Leo XIV meet with Xi Jinping in 2025?$10.00Jun 6, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYAlan Garber out as Harvard President before July?$15.00Jun 6, 20:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $10.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 18, 05:16 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 2, 20:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".