Guilty-Accelerant
0x44f5488197b874f068bab045115adbe659af63ac
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$1.7K
Total PnL
$-1.5K
Realised
$137.06
Win rate
100%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election?
13964 shares @ 8.4¢·now 12.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$1.7K
$576.73
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET
2286 shares @ 4.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-93.03
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
1067 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-32.01
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET
880 shares @ 15.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-133.06
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET
875 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-40.17
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
866 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-130.40
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
696 shares @ 6.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 3, 2026$0.00
$-46.95
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET
682 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-20.46
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET
444 shares @ 15.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-67.26
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET
427 shares @ 15.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 8, 2026$0.00
$-65.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on June 12?$16.52Jun 12, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on June 12?$1.80Jun 12, 07:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on June 12?$3.05Jun 12, 07:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on June 12?$1.61Jun 12, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on June 12?$0.28Jun 12, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on June 12?$0.35Jun 12, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on June 12?$0.51Jun 12, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on June 12?$3.95Jun 12, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on June 12?$0.70Jun 12, 04:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on June 12?$0.90Jun 12, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on June 12?$3.85Jun 12, 02:34 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on June 11?$50.00Jun 11, 16:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on June 11?$1.75Jun 11, 08:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on June 11?$2.85Jun 11, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on June 11?$2.90Jun 11, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on June 11?$3.25Jun 11, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on June 11?$2.10Jun 11, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on June 11?$2.45Jun 11, 06:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on June 11?$2.30Jun 11, 05:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on June 11?$2.60Jun 11, 05:00 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $1.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 12:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 12, 16:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.