Agile-Patriarch
0x44fe4429c46492cbe7ec62100490285a52a8eb38
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-30.57
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- YES
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?
392 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
167 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
164 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
83 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
US strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?
72 shares @ 2.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
56 shares @ 7.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- SENTINELS
LoL: Cloud9 vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffs
25 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-03-13?
18 shares @ 25.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.59
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Parma Calcio 1913 win on 2026-03-13?$4.59Mar 13, 16:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.31Mar 13, 16:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$1.59Mar 13, 16:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.23Mar 13, 16:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?$0.20Mar 13, 16:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 22, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET$1.00Feb 23, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Man City win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.00Feb 23, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.00Feb 23, 03:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.00Feb 23, 03:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 23, 2026?$1.00Feb 23, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by February 22, 2026?$1.00Feb 23, 03:50 UTC
- REDEEMNuggets vs. Warriors$6.25Feb 23, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$3.41Feb 22, 20:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$1.00Feb 22, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$4.00Feb 22, 20:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$4.00Feb 22, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$1.00Feb 22, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$1.00Feb 22, 20:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Cloud9 vs Sentinels (BO5) - LCS Lock In Playoffs$4.00Feb 22, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Karmine Corp vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Versus Playoffs$3.00Feb 22, 20:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $1.97
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 21, 05:59 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 13, 16:55 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.