Thoughtful-Servitude
0x45008814da4dd8a5aa7084f5bd0f7e5d5c96eb2d
Wallet digest
Activity score
43/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-975.87
Realised
$-7.60
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on May 19?
2966 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2025$0.00
$-77.34
- YES
BOA launches a USD stablecoin in 2025?
1868 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-560.18
- YES
Mike Waltz out of Trump administration before May?
1748 shares @ 9.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-173.70
- YES
Will the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Israel before July?
231 shares @ 43.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?
184 shares @ 14.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 17, 2025$0.00
$-27.05
- YES
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by next Tuesday?
125 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 13, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will anyone be charged as a result of Epstein file release?
59 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?$27.05Sep 9, 16:25 UTC
- TRADESELLNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$27.04Sep 9, 16:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYNo change in Fed interest rates after September 2025 meeting?$246.39Jul 29, 13:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill xAI have the top AI model on December 31?$246.39Jul 29, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on December 31?$20.65Jul 10, 03:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on December 31?$125.00Jul 10, 03:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBOA launches a USD stablecoin in 2025?$145.65Jul 10, 03:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBOA launches a USD stablecoin in 2025?$351.26May 20, 16:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Israel before July?$107.22May 19, 16:45 UTC
- TRADESELLElon out of Trump administration before July?$223.98May 19, 16:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mike Waltz leave the Trump administration in 2025?$20.06May 19, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 19?$7.34May 19, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 19?$50.00May 19, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 19?$20.00May 19, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBOA launches a USD stablecoin in 2025?$40.70May 8, 23:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a major ground offensive in Gaza by next Tuesday?$10.00May 6, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. agree to a trade deal with Israel before July?$200.00May 6, 23:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mike Waltz leave the Trump administration in 2025?$20.00May 1, 15:22 UTC
- REDEEMTrump ends Ukraine war in first 90 days?$0.00May 1, 03:02 UTC
- REDEEMFear & Greed Index says "Extreme Fear" every day this week?$0.00May 1, 03:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $54.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 1, 19:32 UTC
- Last active
- Sep 9, 16:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".