Jumpy-Thistle
0x4503323d5c7fc4ccfcc22939eb6cf29bf2e7af53
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
49
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.9K
Realised
$-132.03
Win rate
50%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 49- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?
2744 shares @ 13.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-371.49
- NO
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 8?
2129 shares @ 29.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-618.97
- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
1667 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
1012 shares @ 10.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-110.12
- BRONCOS
Patriots vs. Broncos
743 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-52.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 15, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
500 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 10?
425 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-80.80
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 13?
351 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 13, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $98,000 on January 14?
280 shares @ 10.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 14, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 16, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
240 shares @ 7.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 16, 2026$0.00
$-16.97
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 10?$80.80Feb 10, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 50 and 60 million views on day 1?$3.80Feb 10, 02:29 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 40 and 50 million views on day 1?$69.88Feb 10, 02:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 50 and 60 million views on day 1?$14.72Feb 10, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 40 and 50 million views on day 1?$47.58Feb 10, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bad Bunny Apple Music Super Bowl Halftime Show video get between 50 and 60 million views on day 1?$50.00Feb 10, 00:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 9?$97.58Feb 9, 19:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 9?$22.80Feb 9, 14:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 9?$22.80Feb 9, 14:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 9?$123.61Feb 9, 04:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 8?$300.00Feb 9, 03:47 UTC
- REDEEM1H Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)$357.14Feb 9, 03:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Seahawks (-7.5)$15.00Feb 9, 02:56 UTC
- TRADEBUY1H Spread: Seahawks (-2.5)$200.00Feb 8, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 8?$318.97Feb 8, 16:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 8?$408.04Feb 8, 16:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 8?$69.30Feb 8, 16:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 8?$123.10Feb 8, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on February 8?$465.80Feb 8, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?$50.00Feb 8, 03:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $88.99
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 2, 01:21 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 10, 14:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".