United-Carrot
0x45035e95de1823a16c63b569b159b820d9ae88f1
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-57.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
US debt downgrade in 2025?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the Conservative Party win the most seats in Newfoundland and Labrador in the next Canadian Election?
510 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will the Conservative Party win the Northwest Territories seat in the next Canadian Election?
173 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31?
71 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Trump approval >40% on July 1?
68 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative minority?
56 shares @ 18.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Pierre Poilievre be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
42 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will the next Government of Canada be a Conservative majority?
32 shares @ 6.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Poilievre say "Trump" 3+ times during Canadian Election Debate on April 17?
15 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 17, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the Vatican host Russia-Ukraine peace talks before September?
9 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLRussia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?$4.18May 25, 02:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$3.00May 25, 02:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "America" or "American" 25+ times during West Point Commencement on May 24?$1.00May 24, 03:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the top AI model on May 31?$1.00May 22, 06:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the top AI model on May 31?$1.00May 22, 06:16 UTC
- TRADESELLUS recession in 2025?$1.02May 22, 06:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS recession in 2025?$1.00May 21, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Vatican host Russia-Ukraine peace talks before September?$3.00May 20, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Genocide" this week?$2.00May 20, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump approval >40% on July 1?$2.00May 17, 02:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS debt downgrade in 2025?$1.00May 17, 02:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" this week?$1.00May 17, 02:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Genius" this week?$2.00May 17, 02:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Ripped" or "Ripping" during May 16 Baier interview?$5.16May 17, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win Nobel Peace Prize in 2025?$3.00May 16, 05:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?$3.00May 16, 04:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Ripped" or "Ripping" during May 16 Baier interview?$3.00May 16, 04:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Government of Canada be a Conservative majority?$2.00Apr 29, 01:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Party win the Northwest Territories seat in the next Canadian Election?$1.00Apr 29, 01:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Conservative Party win the most seats in Newfoundland and Labrador in the next Canadian Election?$2.00Apr 29, 01:20 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $6.11
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 23, 23:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 25, 02:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".