Worn-Aquifer
0x450a4647103e8f71e554388f42aa6a54b30936c7
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$3.06
Total PnL
$-5.29
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- PENGUINS
Penguins vs. Kings
3 shares @ 36.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$3.06
$1.96
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- BRUINS
Bruins vs. Golden Knights
4 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 17, 2025$0.00
$-1.23
- YES
Will Jim Gavin win the Irish Presidential Election?
4 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 11, 2025$0.00
$-1.70
- YES
Will "The Brutalist" win Best Picture at the 2025 Oscars?
2 shares @ 46.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2025$0.00
$-1.09
- YES
Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.23
- YES
Will PSV Eindhoven win on 2025-09-16?
2 shares @ 57.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 16, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from October 14 to October 21, 2025?$1.00Oct 16, 17:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYPenguins vs. Kings$1.10Oct 16, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBruins vs. Golden Knights$1.23Oct 16, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$1.23Oct 16, 17:51 UTC
- REDEEMXRP Up or Down on September 10?$1.67Oct 16, 17:50 UTC
- REDEEMWill Real Madrid win on 2025-09-13?$2.38Oct 16, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jim Gavin win the Irish Presidential Election?$1.70Sep 10, 10:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYXRP Up or Down on September 10?$1.00Sep 10, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Real Madrid win on 2025-09-13?$1.50Sep 10, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSV Eindhoven win on 2025-09-16?$1.00Sep 10, 10:20 UTC
- REDEEMTrail Blazers vs. 76ers$2.38Aug 6, 20:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Daniel Noboa win the 2025 Ecuadorian Presidential Election? $3.00Aug 6, 20:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $110,000 by March 31?$3.09Aug 6, 20:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrail Blazers vs. 76ers$1.00Mar 3, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chelsea win on 2025-02-14?$0.00Mar 3, 08:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kieran Culkin win Best Supporting Actor at the 2025 Oscars?$1.67Mar 3, 08:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea win on 2025-02-14?$1.20Feb 14, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill 'Hit Me Hard and Soft' win Album of the Year?$0.00Feb 14, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet 450 or more times Jan 31 - Feb 7?$3.43Feb 14, 09:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 'Hit Me Hard and Soft' win Album of the Year?$1.19Feb 2, 09:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $1.22
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 13, 10:20 UTC
- Last active
- Oct 16, 17:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".