0x450a689b5f583bcbd0e3c6df1e2e919bba49f94a
0x450a689b5f583bcbd0e3c6df1e2e919bba49f94a
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$25.00
Total PnL
$-44.20
Realised
$3.57
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Meta dip to $620 in February?
25 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$25.00
$10.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 7?
83 shares @ 6.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-4.98
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 1?
46 shares @ 8.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-3.72
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 February 23-March 1?
21 shares @ 70.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-14.70
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 28?
20 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,940 on the final trading day of February 2026?
18 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-6.48
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 27?
17 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-6.80
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 27?
10 shares @ 81.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-8.10
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6PM ET
10 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 3?
5 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 7?$4.98Mar 6, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on March 3?$2.00Mar 3, 01:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 1?$4.79Feb 28, 23:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 23-March 1?$4.40Feb 28, 18:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 February 23-March 1?$20.81Feb 28, 04:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 February 23-March 1?$1.98Feb 28, 04:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 1?$1.96Feb 28, 01:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 28?$3.00Feb 27, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 28?$3.00Feb 27, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 1?$2.97Feb 27, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - February 26, 6PM ET$5.00Feb 26, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 27?$4.00Feb 26, 19:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on February 27?$8.10Feb 26, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 27?$2.80Feb 26, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $60,000 February 23-March 1?$15.40Feb 24, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPX) close over $6,940 on the final trading day of February 2026?$6.48Feb 24, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,000 February 23-March 1?$14.70Feb 24, 23:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta dip to $620 in February?$15.00Feb 24, 23:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $6.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 24, 23:36 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 6, 23:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.