Capital-Chainstay
0x4510d0ae688e0b89b5b404d50c3ee76a890d7b63
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
21
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.2K
Realised
$-59.25
Win rate
0%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- YES
Will Elizabeth Warren win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
5000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House
3536 shares @ 61.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-2.2K
- YES
Will Ukraine sever the land bridge between Crimea and Russia before Nov 1?
2794 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2023$0.00
$-34.61
- YES
Will any other Republican Politician win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
2000 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Ethereum all time high in May?
1738 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2024$0.00
$-73.11
- NO
Trump gets more black voters than in 2020?
1613 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will Joe Biden win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
1589 shares @ 36.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-575.00
- YES
Will Nikki Haley win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
1538 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Ethereum hit $15k in 2024?
1526 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2024$0.00
$-140.00
- YES
Israel and Hamas ceasefire by Oct 31?
1114 shares @ 12.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2023$0.00
$-141.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: R Prez R Senate R House$2.2KNov 4, 05:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump gets more black voters than in 2020?$500.00Nov 4, 05:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?$4.20Oct 26, 16:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum hit $15k in 2024?$10.00Oct 26, 14:42 UTC
- TRADEBUY2024 Balance of Power: D Prez, D Senate, D House$15.00Oct 26, 14:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala go on Joe Rogan before election?$10.00Oct 26, 14:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$50.00Oct 26, 14:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?$173.91Oct 26, 14:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the HBO documentary identify someone else as Satoshi?$40.00Oct 5, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum all time high in May?$5.00May 30, 18:00 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum all time high in May?$3.03May 25, 17:30 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum all time high in May?$0.01May 25, 16:19 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum all time high in May?$0.36May 25, 16:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Nikki Haley win the 2024 Republican VP nomination?$25.00May 25, 16:07 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum all time high in May?$11.60May 25, 16:04 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum ETF approved by May 31?$670.48May 24, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ETH hit $4k by Friday?$10.00May 24, 00:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum all time high in May?$29.00May 24, 00:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum all time high in May?$100.00May 23, 21:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ETH hit $4k by Friday?$100.00May 23, 21:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 46
- Avg trade size
- $104.49
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 5, 18:16 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 4, 05:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".