Fluid-Mud
0x4510e2470ba921d45556b48b545626fc323ffde3
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-4.00
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Yoon released from custody before March?
3 shares @ 32.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Katerina Sakellaropoulou be next Greek President?
3 shares @ 37.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 13?
2 shares @ 41.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 14, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will xAI have the top AI model on March 31?
2 shares @ 59.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on March 13?$1.00Mar 13, 06:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on March 31?$1.00Mar 8, 06:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYYoon released from custody before March?$1.00Jan 24, 11:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before Trump inauguration?$0.00Jan 24, 11:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "god" 4+ times during his inauguration speech?$1.72Jan 24, 11:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Katerina Sakellaropoulou be next Greek President?$1.00Jan 11, 13:45 UTC
- REDEEMKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$0.00Jan 11, 13:44 UTC
- REDEEMKamala Harris 538 odds >55% on Friday?$0.00Jan 11, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before Trump inauguration?$1.00Dec 22, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "god" 4+ times during his inauguration speech?$1.00Nov 18, 07:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill either candidate concede in November?$1.52Nov 18, 07:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill either candidate concede in November?$1.00Nov 3, 04:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$1.00Oct 20, 12:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris 538 odds >55% on Friday?$1.00Oct 7, 03:07 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 9
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 7, 03:07 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 13, 06:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".