Elementary-Kangaroo
0x451619bd2d6b6f46386b43db3da083bb2a2d9b59
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$103.12
Total PnL
$-343.88
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 15?
103 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$103.12
$3.12
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on April 30?
218 shares @ 91.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-200.00
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 88-89°F on April 30?
150 shares @ 98.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-147.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in New York City be between 56-57°F on May 15?$100.15May 14, 19:35 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 14?$81.26May 14, 18:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 14?$0.78May 14, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on May 14?$80.10May 14, 16:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on May 14?$53.62May 14, 14:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 13?$18.12May 14, 01:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 13?$5.00May 14, 01:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 13?$5.00May 14, 01:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 13?$5.00May 14, 01:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 13?$5.00May 14, 01:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 13?$5.00May 14, 01:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 13?$19.98May 14, 01:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 13?$25.13May 14, 01:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 13?$22.18May 14, 00:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on May 13?$0.83May 13, 19:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Milan be 20°C or higher on May 14?$51.60May 13, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on May 13?$51.88May 13, 19:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on May 13?$51.09May 13, 14:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on May 13?$0.50May 13, 09:42 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 31°C on May 13?$21.90May 13, 09:42 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $32.81
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 16:37 UTC
- Last active
- May 14, 19:35 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".