Impish-Breadcrumb
0x4516b74ba19913918c45a1731ef344058e9914e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
78/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$8.43
Total PnL
$1.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will the Liberal Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$2.63
$1.63
- YES
Will Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?
2 shares @ 47.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2025$2.13
$1.13
- YES
Magnificent 7 shrinks below 30% of S&P 500 in 2025?
2 shares @ 66.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.52
$0.52
- NO
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?
1 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$1.12
$0.12
- YES
Will Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?
1 shares @ 97.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 23, 2025$1.03
$0.03
- YES
Magnificent 7 shrinks below 25% of S&P 500 in 2025?
5 shares @ 20.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump increase tariffs on Canada before May?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump increase tariffs on Canada before May?$1.00Mar 17, 06:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Liberal Party win the popular vote in Canada's next election?$1.00Mar 17, 06:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Friedrich Merz be the next Chancellor of Germany?$1.00Mar 17, 06:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2025?$1.00Mar 17, 06:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYMagnificent 7 shrinks below 25% of S&P 500 in 2025?$1.00Mar 17, 06:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYMagnificent 7 shrinks below 30% of S&P 500 in 2025?$1.00Mar 17, 06:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mark Carney be the next Canadian Prime Minister?$1.00Mar 17, 06:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 7
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 17, 06:13 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 17, 06:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".