Writhing-Tomtom
0x451ade64210062b0316750e712fac29c029d2dc7
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$14.99
Total PnL
$-63.55
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?
15 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$14.99
$0.14
- NO
Will Ted Cruz post 160-179 posts from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
21 shares @ 97.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-20.34
- YES
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
10 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-9.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C or higher on March 4?
10 shares @ 97.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-9.70
- NO
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?
10 shares @ 94.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-9.46
- NO
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on February 22?
10 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 22, 2026$0.00
$-9.10
- NO
Will Argentina’s monthly inflation in March 2026 be between 3.4% and 3.6%?
6 shares @ 98.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026$0.00
$-5.99
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast's next video get between 35 and 40 million views on day 1?$14.86Jun 14, 01:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Apple announce a new product line during the WWDC 2026 keynote?$16.00Jun 9, 08:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Apple announce a new product line during the WWDC 2026 keynote?$15.69Jun 7, 20:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill White House post 160-179 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$20.00Jun 2, 20:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 160-179 posts from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$19.81Jun 2, 06:05 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by May 31?$67.07Jun 1, 06:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump say "Prediction Market" in May?$14.98Jun 1, 06:09 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$14.91May 31, 19:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$14.55May 30, 18:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 900,000 and 1,200,000 voters?$14.91May 30, 15:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Prediction Market" in May?$14.57May 30, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by May 31?$67.00May 28, 08:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill turnout in the Texas Republican Senate primary runoff be between 900,000 and 1,200,000 voters?$14.57May 25, 19:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill White House post 160-179 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$14.91May 22, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill White House post 160-179 posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?$14.57May 22, 01:47 UTC
- REDEEMWill Maxine Durand win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?$15.00May 20, 08:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill "Ronda Rousey vs Gina Carano" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?$17.00May 19, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Ronda Rousey vs Gina Carano" be the #2 global Netflix show this week?$16.84May 18, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Maxine Durand win the 2026 Idaho Governor Democratic primary election?$14.86May 18, 00:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill NYC Mayor post 20-39 posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$15.97May 15, 07:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $17.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 15, 22:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 01:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.