0x451f641e4eaaac1ec057ea10a6f8a690a0940b7f
0x451f641e4eaaac1ec057ea10a6f8a690a0940b7f
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
46
Open notional
$21.02
Total PnL
$-351.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 46- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 3?
10 shares @ 91.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$9.81
$0.86
- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
7 shares @ 18.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$7.00
$5.74
- YES
Will Tyreek Hill play for the Kansas City Chiefs next?
8 shares @ 45.0¢·now 33.6¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$2.62
$-0.90
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 3?
1 shares @ 64.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$1.37
$0.48
- YES
Will Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?
6 shares @ 55.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.22
$-3.19
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 9AM ET
6000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 5, 2026$0.00
$-6.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 4PM ET
2500 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 4, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- UNDER
AFC Unirea Slobozia vs. FC Rapid 1923: O/U 2.5
2222 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will NYC have between 4 and 5 inches of precipitation in February?
738 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-1.34
- BUCKS
Spread: Celtics (-2.5)
197 shares @ 9.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 3, 2026$0.00
$-18.33
Recent activity
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET$39.38Mar 14, 21:09 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$38.68Mar 14, 21:09 UTC
- REDEEMSolana Up or Down - March 11, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET$38.60Mar 14, 21:09 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$38.60Mar 14, 21:09 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$38.60Mar 14, 21:08 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - March 11, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET$38.60Mar 14, 21:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET$38.60Mar 14, 21:08 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$38.60Mar 14, 21:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be less than 0%?$3.89Mar 14, 21:04 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lebanese Forces win the most seats in the 2026 Lebanese parliamentary election?$16.14Mar 14, 21:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,600 in March?$11.37Mar 14, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 in March?$12.90Mar 14, 21:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the percentage change in the S&P 500 in Q1 2026 be between 2% and 3%?$24.81Mar 14, 20:59 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8AM ET$20.20Mar 11, 15:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$20.00Mar 11, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 12, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET$20.00Mar 11, 12:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 11, 8AM ET$20.00Mar 11, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$20.00Mar 11, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 12, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET$20.00Mar 11, 12:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 12, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET$20.00Mar 11, 12:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $15.91
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 5, 16:11 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 14, 21:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".