0x4524fb3343dfc630e73e3da083e9ab04ff1f8c5f
0x4524fb3343dfc630e73e3da083e9ab04ff1f8c5f
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
31
Open notional
$701.88
Total PnL
$1.95
Realised
$2.10
Win rate
100%
23 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- NO
Will the Milwaukee Brewers win the 2026 World Series?
80 shares @ 97.4¢·now 90.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$72.12
$-5.84
- NO
Will the Boston Bruins win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?
70 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$70.00
$1.50
- NO
Will Nicolai Hojgaard win the 2026 Masters tournament?
60 shares @ 98.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$60.00
$0.99
- NO
Will New York Jets win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship?
50 shares @ 98.7¢·now 98.6¢·exp Jan 25, 2027$49.30
$-0.05
- NO
Will the Texas Rangers win the 2026 World Series?
40 shares @ 97.9¢·now 97.2¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$38.86
$-0.28
- NO
Will the Dallas Cowboys win the 2027 NFL league championship?
40 shares @ 97.5¢·now 96.2¢·exp Mar 31, 2027$38.46
$-0.52
- NO
Will the San Diego Padres win the 2026 World Series?
33 shares @ 97.5¢·now 99.8¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$32.73
$0.74
- NO
Will Russell Henley win the 2026 Masters tournament?
30 shares @ 98.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$30.00
$0.46
- NO
Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament?
30 shares @ 98.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$30.00
$0.57
- NO
Will the Houston Astros win the 2026 World Series?
24 shares @ 97.6¢·now 99.3¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$23.65
$0.39
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.01Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 27, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 25, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 22, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 20:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 21, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 19, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 17, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 13, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 9, 00:10 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
44/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 23 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
23 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 00:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 00:14 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 23 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.