Vibrant-Cardigan
0x4525ae2304cde561e7f3527923b20196ea755c52
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
24
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-32.21
Realised
$0.13
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 24- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 24-25°F on February 7?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on February 19?
12 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on February 19?
8 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 24, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET
7 shares @ 49.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-3.40
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 11?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 15?
4 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 40-41°F on February 19?
4 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 19, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on February 11?
4 shares @ 47.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 11, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 25, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET
4 shares @ 74.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.97
- YES
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on February 14?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on February 26?$1.00Feb 26, 10:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on February 26?$1.00Feb 26, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 18°C on February 25?$1.00Feb 25, 05:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on February 25?$1.00Feb 24, 16:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on February 24?$1.07Feb 24, 13:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on February 24?$1.33Feb 24, 13:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 15°C on February 24?$1.00Feb 24, 13:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on February 24?$1.00Feb 24, 13:03 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Miami be 65°F or below on February 23?$1.35Feb 24, 13:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be 65°F or below on February 23?$1.00Feb 23, 07:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on February 23?$1.00Feb 23, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 12°C on February 23?$1.00Feb 23, 07:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on February 22?$1.52Feb 23, 07:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 86-87°F on February 22?$1.00Feb 22, 06:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on February 22?$1.00Feb 22, 06:57 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on February 21?$1.96Feb 22, 06:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 14°C on February 21?$1.00Feb 21, 06:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on February 21?$1.00Feb 21, 06:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 20?$4.82Feb 21, 04:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 38-39°F on February 20?$1.00Feb 20, 15:08 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $1.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 11, 17:06 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 26, 10:39 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".