Outlying-Beret
0x4534355aa4a08f5bd951ee3fe5eec3fd9235801f
Wallet digest
Activity score
72/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$154.34
Total PnL
$-266.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
100 shares @ 72.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$99.99
$28.00
- NO
Will Trump strike a drug boat on October 28?
54 shares @ 92.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$54.35
$4.35
- YES
Will xAI have the top AI model on December 31?
1000 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
Grok 5 released by December 31?
120 shares @ 20.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-24.60
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $112,000 on October 29?
116 shares @ 89.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-103.60
- ETH
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?
100 shares @ 69.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-69.00
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $130k in October?
100 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 1, 2025$0.00
$-0.90
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on October 29?
90 shares @ 67.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-60.60
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on December 31?$5.44Nov 7, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on December 31?$5.44Nov 7, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on December 31?$5.44Nov 7, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on December 31?$6.93Nov 7, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on December 31?$3.20Nov 7, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on December 31?$1.20Nov 7, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on December 31?$1.20Nov 7, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on December 31?$0.39Nov 7, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on December 31?$4.00Nov 7, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on December 31?$0.40Nov 7, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on December 31?$2.40Nov 7, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on December 31?$2.76Nov 7, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on December 31?$0.40Nov 7, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on December 31?$0.80Nov 7, 10:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrok 5 released by December 31?$12.00Nov 3, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrok 5 released by December 31?$12.60Nov 3, 12:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130k in October?$0.12Oct 29, 14:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130k in October?$0.34Oct 29, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $130k in October?$0.44Oct 29, 14:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $4,000 on October 29?$11.22Oct 29, 13:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $13.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 28, 04:25 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 7, 10:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".