0x45358e6d863cbfb8b5114ffb0568d77d730903db
0x45358e6d863cbfb8b5114ffb0568d77d730903db
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$14.04
Total PnL
$-4.96
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
3 shares @ 34.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$2.94
$1.94
- YES
Will Interactive Brokers (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?
2 shares @ 65.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$1.54
$0.54
- YES
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
2 shares @ 66.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 25, 2026$1.51
$0.51
- YES
Will Netflix (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings?
1 shares @ 71.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$1.41
$0.41
- YES
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
1 shares @ 75.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.32
$0.32
- YES
Will BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings?
1 shares @ 80.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$1.25
$0.25
- YES
Will 3M (MMM) beat quarterly earnings?
1 shares @ 85.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 20, 2026$1.18
$0.18
- YES
Will Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) beat quarterly earnings?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 15, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?
1 shares @ 95.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.05
$0.05
- YES
Discord IPO before 2027?
1 shares @ 92.0¢·now 58.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.64
$-0.36
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill 3M (MMM) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Jan 14, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 14, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Interactive Brokers (IBKR) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Jan 14, 07:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?$1.00Jan 14, 07:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Los Angeles Rams win Super Bowl 2026?$1.00Jan 14, 07:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 14, 07:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$1.00Jan 14, 07:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?$0.00Jan 14, 07:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix (NFLX) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Jan 10, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Jan 10, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Taiwan Semiconductor (TSM) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Jan 10, 12:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JPMorgan Chase (JPM) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Jan 10, 12:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.00Jan 10, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?$1.00Jan 10, 12:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.00Jan 10, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?$1.00Jan 10, 12:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYDiscord IPO before 2027?$1.00Jan 10, 12:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$1.00Jan 10, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ali Khamenei be the next leader out before 2027?$1.00Jan 10, 12:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 10, 12:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $1.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 10, 12:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 14, 07:52 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".