Sugary-Criterion
0x4538bda42fb49315f3fa7e2325dac0339beff2f8
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$3.99
Total PnL
$-0.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon tweet less than 400 times Jan 10-17?
2 shares @ 64.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2025$1.56
$0.56
- YES
Will Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?
1 shares @ 75.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2025$1.33
$0.33
- NO
Will Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?
1 shares @ 91.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 8, 2024$1.09
$0.09
- YES
Manchester City wins the Premier League?
3 shares @ 36.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet less than 400 times Jan 10-17?$1.00Jan 14, 00:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jill Stein get the most votes of any 3rd party candidate?$1.21Dec 28, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Călin Georgescu win the Romanian Presidential election by 10% or more?$1.00Dec 28, 00:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Josh Allen win NFL MVP for the 2024-25 season?$1.00Dec 10, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jill Stein get the most votes of any 3rd party candidate?$1.00Nov 8, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYManchester City wins the Premier League?$1.00Nov 8, 20:02 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kamala say "Trump" 10 or more times during Univision town hall on October 10?$0.00Nov 6, 01:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "McDonald's" during Georgia speech on Oct 15?$1.54Nov 6, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "McDonald's" during Georgia speech on Oct 15?$1.00Oct 15, 23:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala say "Trump" 10 or more times during Univision town hall on October 10?$1.00Oct 10, 01:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Patriots and Dolphins combine for 37 or more points?$0.00Oct 10, 01:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Patriots and Dolphins combine for 37 or more points?$1.00Oct 6, 15:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Maccabi TLV beat Midtjylland?$1.39Oct 6, 15:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Lazio beat Nice?$1.85Oct 6, 15:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "Comrade Kamala" during Michigan rally?$100.00Oct 6, 15:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Lazio beat Nice?$1.00Oct 2, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Comrade Kamala" during Michigan rally?$55.00Oct 2, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Comrade Kamala" during Michigan rally?$46.00Oct 2, 23:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Maccabi TLV beat Midtjylland?$1.00Oct 2, 23:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 12
- Avg trade size
- $9.25
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 2, 23:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 14, 00:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".