Modest-Column
0x453922525206451e1df739284c8c607e936417b2
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
58
Open notional
$4.12
Total PnL
$-14.4K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 58- YES
Will Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?
2 shares @ 97.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$2.05
$0.05
- NO
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 94.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 14, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?
1 shares @ 98.4¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - December 9, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
1000 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-500.00
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
700 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-349.90
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET
700 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-350.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 15, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
700 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-350.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 14, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET
700 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 14, 2025$0.00
$-350.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 14, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET
700 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 15, 2025$0.00
$-350.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $150 by end of January?$1.00Jan 26, 05:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYJerome Powell out as Fed Chair by March 31, 2026?$1.00Jan 21, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?$1.00Jan 15, 01:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Logan Paul’s PSA 10 Pokémon Illustrator Sale Price be over $4 million?$1.00Jan 7, 01:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kim Jong Un visit US in 2025?$1.02Jan 7, 01:39 UTC
- REDEEMGOP uses 'Nuclear Option' to break filibuster by December 31?$1.02Jan 7, 01:39 UTC
- REDEEMLee Jae-myung arrested in 2025?$1.02Jan 7, 01:39 UTC
- REDEEMEpstein confirmed as foreign agent in 2025?$1.02Jan 7, 01:39 UTC
- REDEEMApple Vision Pro 2 released by December 31?$1.03Jan 7, 01:39 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$1.04Jan 7, 01:39 UTC
- REDEEMNuclear weapon detonation in 2025?$1.04Jan 7, 01:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Avatar 3 be the top grossing movie of 2025?$1.04Jan 7, 01:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Nasry Juan Asfura Zablah win the 2025 Honduras presidential election?$1.05Jan 7, 01:39 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$1.06Jan 7, 01:39 UTC
- REDEEMGPT ads by December 31?$2.10Jan 7, 01:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia in 2025?$2.12Jan 7, 01:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Venezuela military engagement by December 15?$1.00Dec 12, 01:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 12?$1.04Dec 12, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI release a new frontier model on December 12?$1.00Dec 11, 01:48 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$3.05Dec 11, 01:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 27
- Avg trade size
- $156.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 9, 05:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jan 26, 05:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.