Watchful-Venti
0x453a572e56123349f5c90b61349baab6110e6799
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
2
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-21.80
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump release more Epstein files by August 31?$0.84Aug 20, 10:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the US confirm that aliens exist in 2025?$0.93Aug 20, 10:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.75Aug 20, 10:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during September press conference?$1.50Aug 20, 10:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Europe win the 2025 Ryder Cup?$1.95Aug 20, 10:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sylvi Listhaug become the next Prime Minister of Norway?$5.00Aug 20, 10:37 UTC
- TRADESELLEarthquake 7.0 or above by August 31?$5.90Aug 20, 10:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "Trump" during September press conference?$6.25Aug 20, 10:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill FrP win the most seats in the next Norwegian parliamentary election?$9.00Aug 20, 10:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during September press conference?$12.59Aug 20, 10:37 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael x Hamas ceasefire by September 15?$15.58Aug 20, 10:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ghislaine Maxwell cut a deal with the Feds by August 31?$19.74Aug 20, 10:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill JD Vance say "Bitcoin" or "Crypto" during his remarks to US troops in UK on August 13?$6.00Aug 12, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Europe win the 2025 Ryder Cup?$2.00Aug 11, 10:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during September press conference?$8.00Aug 11, 10:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$1.00Aug 11, 10:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during September press conference?$6.00Aug 9, 10:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump sell over 100k Gold Cards in 2025?$2.20Aug 9, 10:27 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk say "Tesla" during the August 6 AMA?$0.00Aug 9, 10:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bernie Sanders say "Oligarchy" 5+ times during his West Virginia speech on August 8?$0.00Aug 9, 10:26 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
39 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $5.62
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 2, 23:15 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 20, 10:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.