Thick-Language
0x453ae5e896ea243f332ed97c1c77bf2888ce81d2
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
19
Open notional
$7.3K
Total PnL
$-7.6K
Realised
$-2.8K
Win rate
25%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 19- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
117675 shares @ 4.3¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$4.6K
$-445.16
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?
36789 shares @ 8.6¢·now 3.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.3K
$-1.9K
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?
5219 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$501.02
$-19.18
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in June?
12522 shares @ 13.7¢·now 3.4¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$419.50
$-1.3K
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?
2462 shares @ 17.6¢·now 6.6¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$161.25
$-273.45
- YES
Will Solana dip to $50 in June?
4085 shares @ 15.0¢·now 3.9¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$157.29
$-456.06
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the July 2026 meeting?
15799 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$39.50
$-7.90
- YES
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
16102 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$24.15
$-215.93
- YES
Will Ethereum dip to $1,300 in June?
300 shares @ 14.2¢·now 7.1¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$21.27
$-21.33
- YES
Will inflation reach more than 8% in 2026?
338 shares @ 8.2¢·now 4.8¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$16.24
$-11.36
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?$53.68Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?$217.02Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?$98.35Jun 14, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?$183.95Jun 14, 00:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $52,500 in June?$490.85Jun 14, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by October 31, 2026?$1.33Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?$1.22Jun 14, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$1.04Jun 14, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$82.95Jun 14, 00:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$38.85Jun 14, 00:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$19.58Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$76.66Jun 13, 23:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$39.15Jun 12, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$146.88Jun 12, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$7.84Jun 12, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$4.52Jun 12, 03:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$0.21Jun 12, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$5.27Jun 12, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$8.36Jun 12, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?$107.80Jun 12, 00:49 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $59.59
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 07:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.