Alive-Emission
0x453c9c7caad8b6b9a5211465af331548ead1967c
Wallet digest
Activity score
77/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$91.09
Total PnL
$-10.81
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?
91 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$91.09
$0.09
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $94,000 on January 11?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 11, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $80,000 and $82,000 on December 25?
700 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.40
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on November 22?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 22, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from October 28 to November 4, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,600 on February 9?
500 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Bull run: September
250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?$91.00Jun 2, 10:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in May 2026?$91.09Jun 2, 10:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 1040-1079 tweets in May 2026?$91.00May 31, 05:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$91.09May 31, 05:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 25 to May 27, 2026?$91.00May 27, 09:20 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in May 2026?$91.09May 27, 09:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 640-659 tweets in May 2026?$91.00May 23, 09:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$91.09May 23, 09:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 14 to May 16, 2026?$91.00May 16, 09:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$91.09May 16, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?$91.00May 14, 03:30 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$90.18May 14, 03:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?$90.00May 11, 08:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$90.09May 11, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$90.00May 8, 01:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$90.09May 8, 01:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$90.00May 3, 02:17 UTC
- REDEEMWill Baidu have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.19May 3, 02:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $200 in April?$1.20May 3, 02:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?$1.20May 3, 02:14 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $64.53
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 20, 08:18 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 2, 10:43 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".