Optimal-Democrat
0x4543fcf486300f69c4227097a8dd420f734838ac
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
40
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-807.22
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 40- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET
1852 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-18.57
- NO
Will MrBeast hit 472 Million subscribers by March 31?
1686 shares @ 5.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get 59 million or more views on day 2?
1495 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET
1491 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-37.19
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 56 and 59 million views on day 2?
1330 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will MrBeast hit 480 Million subscribers by March 31?
1130 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will MrBeast's next video get between 53 and 56 million views on day 2?
911 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 6, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
891 shares @ 2.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-23.25
- NETS
Pistons vs. Nets
769 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 10, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET
598 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-16.10
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET$1.07May 6, 03:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$0.00May 6, 03:16 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$0.00May 6, 03:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Khamenei post 10-14 posts from April 7 to April 14, 2026?$0.00May 6, 03:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?$0.00May 6, 03:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?$0.00May 6, 03:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?$0.00May 6, 03:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?$0.00May 6, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET$10.00Apr 7, 17:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET$15.00Apr 7, 16:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$10.00Apr 7, 16:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET$10.00Apr 7, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$20.00Apr 7, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET$30.00Apr 7, 16:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET$10.00Apr 7, 16:29 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$0.00Apr 7, 16:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET$99.28Apr 7, 16:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$5.00Apr 7, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET$10.00Apr 7, 05:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - April 7, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET$5.00Apr 7, 05:39 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $11.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 6, 05:39 UTC
- Last active
- May 6, 03:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".