Fortunate-Porcelain
0x4545646e59d3270e9cb111a5519d4e66c5929c0f
Wallet digest
Activity score
62/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$13.33
Total PnL
$-48.27
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- YES
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?
13 shares @ 15.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$13.33
$11.33
- YES
Will Yuki Tsunoda win the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?
147 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Marseille win the 2025–26 Champions League?
125 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Qatar gift Trump a new Air Force One in May?
69 shares @ 28.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2025$0.00
$-19.69
- YES
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire before July?
46 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-4.18
- YES
Will Powell say "Trump" during October press conference?
29 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Osasuna win on 2025-10-18?
25 shares @ 8.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 18, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
22 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?
21 shares @ 4.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Charles Leclerc win the 2025 Monaco Grand Prix?
20 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 25, 2025$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$0.00Mar 16, 09:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$0.00Mar 16, 09:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$6.14Nov 23, 09:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.14Nov 23, 09:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.82Nov 23, 09:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?$3.27Nov 23, 09:31 UTC
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?$0.00Nov 2, 11:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?$0.78Oct 28, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?$23.52Oct 28, 18:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during October press conference?$1.03Oct 20, 19:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Trump" during October press conference?$5.00Oct 20, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill any of the stolen Louvre jewels be returned by October 31$3.00Oct 20, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by October 31?$6.00Oct 20, 19:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sabrina Carpenter say "Trump" during SNL appearance on October 18?$7.14Oct 20, 18:59 UTC
- REDEEMWill AZ win on 2025-10-18?$7.88Oct 20, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AZ win on 2025-10-18?$6.70Oct 18, 20:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill George Russell be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$1.00Oct 18, 19:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Max Verstappen be the 2025 Drivers Champion?$5.00Oct 18, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NAC Breda win on 2025-10-18?$2.00Oct 18, 19:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Osasuna win on 2025-10-18?$2.00Oct 18, 19:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 38
- Avg trade size
- $3.31
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 23, 06:13 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 09:34 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".