Wallet digest

active

Activity score

50/100

Performance: thin sample

Open positions

Open notional

$0.00

Total PnL

$-15.8K

Realised

$185.39

Win rate

n/a

too few closed

Guardrail: wallet activity is not profitability, and large trades are not smart money. Use the sample, concentration, and copy-risk dimensions before reading this profile as meaningful.

Largest open positions

showing 10 of 71

UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
11666 shares @ 19.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026
$0.00
$-2.3K
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 21, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET
8586 shares @ 23.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026
$0.00
$-2.0K
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 2:15AM-2:30AM ET
8196 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026
$0.00
$-1.0K
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4PM ET
4782 shares @ 11.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026
$0.00
$-558.09
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 4:30AM-4:45AM ET
4735 shares @ 9.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026
$0.00
$-429.88
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
4644 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026
$0.00
$-46.44
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET
4641 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026
$0.00
$-417.74
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 15, 4:00PM-4:15PM ET
3570 shares @ 14.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026
$0.00
$-532.55
UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET
3282 shares @ 8.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026
$0.00
$-287.76
DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 14, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET
3129 shares @ 13.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 14, 2026
$0.00
$-417.22

Recent activity

TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$2.08May 20, 16:37 UTC
TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET$5.21May 20, 16:37 UTC
TRADESELLWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 20?$8.10May 20, 16:35 UTC
TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 20?$7.91May 20, 11:03 UTC
MAKER_REBATE$7.96Apr 17, 01:00 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$1.2KApr 16, 14:17 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$21.00Apr 16, 14:17 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$3.50Apr 16, 14:17 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$21.00Apr 16, 14:17 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$30.00Apr 16, 14:17 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$29.63Apr 16, 14:17 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$1.09Apr 16, 14:17 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$2.10Apr 16, 14:17 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$21.00Apr 16, 14:17 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$3.50Apr 16, 14:17 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$2.00Apr 16, 14:17 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$29.25Apr 16, 14:17 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$15.14Apr 16, 14:17 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$3.00Apr 16, 14:17 UTC
TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - April 16, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET$3.50Apr 16, 14:17 UTC

Persistent ledger timeline

persistent

No trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.

Ledger intelligence

persistent

7d volume

$0.00

0 trades

30d volume

$0.00

0 trades

Buy share

50%

Sample

low

0 ledger trades

No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.

Profile dimensions

Activity42 / 100

Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.

Performance confidence7 / 100

How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.

Specialization0 / 100

Share of trades concentrated in their top category.

Early-entry25 / 100

Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.

Copy-risk55 / 100

How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.

Trades (all time): 49
Avg trade size: $81.52
Top category: —
Category concentration: 0%
First seen: Apr 15, 20:01 UTC
Last active: May 20, 16:37 UTC
Win rate sample: 2 closed

The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".

View on Polymarket View on Polygonscan

updated 12:06:39 UTC·src:Polymarket Data