Graceful-Nothing
0x454a0b3ac78e3f07429497315b82b8096534ef15
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$50.38
Total PnL
$-1.57
Realised
$-4.84
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- UNDER
CD San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs. Club Guabirá: O/U 5.5
21 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$21.00
$2.10
- KNICKS
Spread: Spurs (-23.5)
18 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 4, 2026$18.00
$1.26
- YES
Will Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?
11 shares @ 96.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 20, 2026$11.00
$0.44
- YES
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 1.5% at the end of 2026?
76 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$0.38
$-0.53
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spurs (-23.5)$16.78Jun 3, 02:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYCD San Antonio Bulo Bulo vs. Club Guabirá: O/U 5.5$18.96May 29, 10:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Aubry Bracco win Survivor Season 50?$10.58May 19, 07:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2,250 on May 7?$14.00May 19, 06:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2,250 on May 7?$13.22May 7, 11:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?$158.86Mar 11, 11:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?$64.38Mar 11, 11:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?$202.71Mar 11, 11:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?$6.45Mar 11, 11:39 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?$1.7KMar 11, 11:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?$89.69Mar 11, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?$806.34Mar 11, 11:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fidesz-KDNP win the national list vote in the 2026 Hungarian Parliamentary election by 6-9%?$734.77Mar 11, 11:32 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Qinwen Zheng win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$16.69Mar 11, 11:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Qinwen Zheng win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$5.33Mar 11, 11:26 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Qinwen Zheng win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$20.07Mar 11, 11:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qinwen Zheng win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$11.37Mar 11, 11:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Qinwen Zheng win the 2026 Women’s French Open?$35.58Mar 11, 11:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?$31.14Mar 11, 11:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill New York City FC win the 2026 MLS Cup?$1.7KMar 11, 11:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $410.79
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 04:33 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 3, 02:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".