0x454a682bed281b108cac770245f4c371343dd6da
0x454a682bed281b108cac770245f4c371343dd6da
Wallet digest
Activity score
87/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$678.92
Total PnL
$-33.14
Realised
$-0.64
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Iran leadership change by March 13?
403 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$403.23
$28.23
- NO
Iran leadership change by March 31?
216 shares @ 74.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$215.82
$55.02
- YES
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
29 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.49
$0.09
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
19 shares @ 89.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$18.12
$0.87
- NO
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?
6 shares @ 82.1¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$6.22
$1.11
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
4 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$4.08
$0.41
- NO
Another US strike on Venezuela by March 31?
2 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$1.96
$0.04
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
252 shares @ 46.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-118.27
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$29.40Mar 10, 20:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by March 31?$119.32Mar 10, 20:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by March 31?$2.11Mar 10, 20:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by March 31?$39.37Mar 10, 20:12 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$29.09Mar 10, 19:24 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$36.79Mar 10, 19:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$2.67Mar 10, 19:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$36.25Mar 10, 18:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$81.82Mar 10, 18:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$51.35Mar 10, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$2.37Mar 10, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$3.27Mar 10, 18:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by April 30?$7.07Mar 10, 18:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by March 13?$20.80Mar 10, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by March 13?$331.20Mar 10, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by March 13?$6.90Mar 10, 17:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran leadership change by March 13?$16.10Mar 10, 17:40 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$0.00Mar 10, 14:52 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$0.00Mar 10, 14:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran first?$2.59Mar 10, 14:52 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $50.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 21:06 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 10, 20:42 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.