Raw-Legacy
0x454d3695278bfbb193f4881b08f1ceb53a4133e1
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
16
Open notional
$2.69
Total PnL
$-60.31
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 16- YES
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?
24 shares @ 4.1¢·now 5.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.24
$0.24
- YES
ByteDance IPO before 2027?
16 shares @ 37.2¢·now 5.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.89
$-5.11
- YES
Will anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 6.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.38
$-0.62
- YES
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?
4 shares @ 28.0¢·now 5.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2027$0.18
$-0.82
- YES
Will Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?
1500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be -6°C on February 7?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 7, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?
333 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
GPT-5.3 released by February 14, 2026?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?
200 shares @ 0.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will France join the Board of Peace?
135 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump visit China by March 31?$19.41Feb 28, 14:30 UTC
- TRADESELLSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$10.37Feb 28, 14:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Chris Gober be the Republican Nominee for TX-10?$1.82Feb 28, 14:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$5.00Feb 7, 17:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027?$1.00Feb 7, 09:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chris Gober be the Republican Nominee for TX-10?$1.00Feb 7, 09:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYByteDance IPO before 2027?$3.00Feb 7, 08:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be -6°C on February 7?$1.00Feb 7, 08:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?$10.88Feb 7, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUY10.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$1.00Feb 6, 16:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $3.00 (HIGH) by February 28, 2026?$1.23Feb 6, 16:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYByteDance IPO before 2027?$2.00Feb 6, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYGPT-5.3 released by February 14, 2026?$1.00Feb 5, 21:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYByteDance IPO before 2027?$1.00Feb 5, 21:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYGemini 3.5 released by March 31?$1.00Feb 5, 21:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill anyone be jailed over Epstein disclosures? $1.00Feb 5, 21:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in February?$1.42Feb 5, 15:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?$5.00Feb 5, 14:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Emmanuel Macron be the next leader out before 2027?$3.00Feb 5, 14:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sébastien Lecornu be the next leader out before 2027?$1.00Feb 5, 14:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $4.24
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 5, 14:22 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 28, 14:30 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".