Elastic-Primary
0x454eb47f75d726ff6f2320880f04d2e0b72462b9
Wallet digest
Activity score
93/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
8
Open notional
$37.5K
Total PnL
$-15.4K
Realised
$232.67
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
16000 shares @ 94.6¢·now 85.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$13.6K
$-1.5K
- NO
Will South Africa reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
10360 shares @ 94.0¢·now 94.0¢·exp Jul 4, 2026$9.7K
$4.01
- YES
Will Iran Play in the World Cup?
7457 shares @ 98.7¢·now 99.8¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$7.4K
$82.81
- NO
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
20000 shares @ 94.8¢·now 23.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.7K
$-14.3K
- NO
Will Switzerland finish last in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?
980 shares @ 96.0¢·now 96.8¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$948.89
$7.84
- NO
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
569 shares @ 83.0¢·now 96.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$551.57
$79.12
- NO
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
300 shares @ 88.8¢·now 85.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$256.21
$-9.76
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
1000 shares @ 32.0¢·now 23.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$232.50
$-87.50
Recent activity
- YIELD$1.24Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland finish last in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$936.92Jun 13, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Switzerland finish last in Group B in the 2026 FIFA World Cup Group Stage?$4.13Jun 13, 11:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran Play in the World Cup?$91.81Jun 13, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran Play in the World Cup?$29.71Jun 13, 09:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran Play in the World Cup?$70.43Jun 13, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran Play in the World Cup?$704.29Jun 13, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran Play in the World Cup?$1.0KJun 13, 09:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran Play in the World Cup?$333.83Jun 13, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran Play in the World Cup?$70.43Jun 13, 07:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran Play in the World Cup?$3.3KJun 13, 07:42 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.38Jun 13, 00:45 UTC
- YIELD$1.22Jun 13, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMCanada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5$5.0KJun 12, 21:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5$3.7KJun 12, 17:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran Play in the World Cup?$91.63Jun 12, 15:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran Play in the World Cup?$1.7KJun 12, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5$39.24Jun 12, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5$842.41Jun 12, 10:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYCanada vs. Bosnia and Herzegovina: O/U 5.5$0.25Jun 12, 09:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 20
- Avg trade size
- $1.1K
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 27, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.