Thoughtful-Reset
0x454f1f2a7852100538ae76a47b69a5985117ded0
Wallet digest
Activity score
57/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
44
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-229.89
Realised
$14.40
Win rate
67%
6 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 44- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
1000 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.14
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
222 shares @ 4.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-9.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET
100 shares @ 10.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-10.81
- YES
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
67 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET
67 shares @ 17.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-11.34
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 21, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET
60 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 21, 2026$0.00
$-4.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET
58 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 20, 2026$0.00
$-19.75
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET
42 shares @ 12.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.03
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$6.98Mar 26, 14:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$10.00Mar 25, 21:31 UTC
- TRADESELLEthereum Up or Down - March 25, 3PM ET$6.18Mar 25, 19:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - March 25, 3PM ET$5.00Mar 25, 19:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$7.33Mar 25, 19:06 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$5.65Mar 25, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$5.00Mar 25, 19:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET$5.00Mar 25, 19:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$12.84Mar 25, 19:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$5.00Mar 25, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET$5.00Mar 25, 19:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$0.62Mar 25, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$0.35Mar 25, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$1.13Mar 25, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$0.08Mar 25, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$3.66Mar 25, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET$5.00Mar 25, 18:55 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$6.62Mar 25, 18:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$5.00Mar 25, 18:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 25, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET$5.00Mar 25, 18:50 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $6.87
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 24, 23:06 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 26, 14:50 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 6 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.