0x455c9361a86fcd9448951b409163fb04d2fae548
0x455c9361a86fcd9448951b409163fb04d2fae548
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
14
Open notional
$699.15
Total PnL
$-174.96
Realised
$12.34
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 14- NO
Will White House post 140-159 posts from June 9 to June 16, 2026?
131 shares @ 88.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$131.11
$14.63
- YES
Magnitude 6.5+ earthquake in LA before 2027?
1374 shares @ 26.3¢·now 8.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$117.49
$-243.56
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 78-79°F on June 13?
84 shares @ 79.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$83.86
$17.62
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Denver be 65°F or below on June 14?
70 shares @ 82.7¢·now 96.7¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$67.24
$9.67
- NO
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on June 13?
56 shares @ 89.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$55.97
$6.13
- NO
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on June 13?
54 shares @ 90.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$54.21
$4.91
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 14?
56 shares @ 89.0¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$52.38
$2.55
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 14?
58 shares @ 86.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$50.13
$0.29
- NO
Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on June 13?
39 shares @ 93.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$39.00
$2.35
- BOSTON RED SOX
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
20 shares @ 50.0¢·now 53.5¢·exp Jun 6, 2026$10.70
$0.70
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 65°F or below on June 14?$2.64Jun 13, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 65°F or below on June 14?$5.63Jun 13, 18:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on June 13?$5.00Jun 13, 16:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 14?$19.41Jun 13, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 92-93°F on June 14?$30.43Jun 13, 12:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 72-73°F on June 12?$53.39Jun 13, 08:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be between 66-67°F on June 14?$6.27Jun 13, 08:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Denver be 65°F or below on June 14?$49.75Jun 13, 07:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Houston be between 92-93°F on June 14?$50.19Jun 13, 06:37 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 90-91°F on June 12?$5.00Jun 13, 05:13 UTC
- REDEEMPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers$73.23Jun 13, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers$48.01Jun 13, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYPhiladelphia Phillies vs. Milwaukee Brewers$24.02Jun 13, 01:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on June 10?$0.00Jun 13, 00:39 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 9?$0.00Jun 13, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 82-83°F on June 13?$21.91Jun 12, 21:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 12?$33.05Jun 12, 15:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Dallas be between 94-95°F on June 12?$22.24Jun 12, 15:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 80-81°F on June 13?$49.51Jun 12, 14:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 78-79°F on June 13?$50.11Jun 12, 14:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 35
- Avg trade size
- $21.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 10, 17:27 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 18:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.