Lavish-Tub
0x455f38e943e55c4ab31a5a884deedb3bcc30518a
Wallet digest
Activity score
53/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
15
Open notional
$55.52
Total PnL
$-90.81
Realised
$-3.60
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 15- NO
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?
27 shares @ 56.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$26.79
$11.79
- NO
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
16 shares @ 64.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$14.14
$4.14
- YES
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
18 shares @ 57.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$8.86
$-1.14
- YES
Trump out as President before 2027?
50 shares @ 14.0¢·now 7.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.75
$-3.25
- YES
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
45 shares @ 20.0¢·now 4.4¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.98
$-7.02
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
294 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 13, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET
100 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will USD reach 1.5M Iranian rials by January 31?
76 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-26.00
- NO
Khamenei public appearance by February 21, 2026?
40 shares @ 49.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-19.98
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 10, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET
25 shares @ 16.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.98
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jun 30, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 29, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 28, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 27, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 26, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 25, 00:18 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 24, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 23, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 22, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 20, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 19, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 16, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 14, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
No live wallet activity or persistent ledger trades are available.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 0
- Avg trade size
- $0.00
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 12, 00:15 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 30, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.