Fickle-Quadrant
0x456559be28a485b083e042e5f140be3eff4e6549
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-92.50
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- MEXICO
First Round Pool B: Mexico vs. Italy
15000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 40-59 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
5000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
1200 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.20
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 10 to March 17, 2026?
313 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 17, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
240 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-18.00
- NO
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $250 end of March?
167 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will MrBeast hit 479 million subscribers by April 30?
121 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
113 shares @ 4.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
100 shares @ 12.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-12.30
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?
100 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump be impeached by June 30?$2.14Apr 24, 05:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?$7.00Apr 24, 05:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$53.12Apr 24, 05:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$37.24Apr 24, 05:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$30.00Apr 23, 16:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$30.00Apr 23, 16:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$53.38Apr 21, 20:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MrBeast hit 479 million subscribers by April 30?$1.00Apr 20, 19:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill MrBeast hit 472 Million subscribers by March 31?$0.00Apr 20, 19:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$56.02Apr 20, 03:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?$16.00Apr 16, 17:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$34.00Apr 16, 17:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$12.30Mar 30, 00:40 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$10.02Mar 25, 00:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$22.88Mar 24, 19:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$23.77Mar 24, 19:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?$10.00Mar 20, 18:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$3.33Mar 19, 14:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$1.17Mar 19, 14:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 17 to March 24, 2026?$0.24Mar 19, 14:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $13.14
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 14, 02:04 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 24, 05:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.