Gray-Tick
0x45684e57bd894818f0e1978f3e7b263a24791c92
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$172.64
Total PnL
$-266.79
Realised
$-29.44
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
95 shares @ 63.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$95.24
$35.24
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?
30 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$29.76
$4.76
- NO
Will the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?
25 shares @ 81.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$24.59
$4.59
- YES
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
211 shares @ 19.0¢·now 10.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$21.05
$-18.95
- YES
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?
444 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$2.00
$-38.00
- YES
Netanyahu out by March 31?
811 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 4% on any day in Q1?
501 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-70.00
- YES
Will the S&P 500 Index lose at least 5% on any day in Q1?
480 shares @ 8.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
352 shares @ 4.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
138 shares @ 29.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-40.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the S&P 500 Index lose at least 4% on any day in Q1?$25.00Mar 22, 23:57 UTC
- REDEEMIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?$20.14Mar 20, 00:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by March 31?$30.00Mar 17, 19:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China blockade Taiwan by June 30?$40.00Mar 16, 19:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina x Taiwan military clash before 2027?$40.00Mar 16, 19:34 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 14, 01:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 14?$15.00Mar 14, 00:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?$60.00Mar 14, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?$20.00Mar 13, 23:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYHouthi strike on Israel by March 31, 2026?$30.00Mar 13, 23:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Iran by March 31?$20.00Mar 13, 23:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 31?$25.00Mar 13, 23:04 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 14?$10.56Mar 13, 22:59 UTC
- TRADESELLWill USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$37.65Mar 13, 22:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 13, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 12, 00:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 11, 00:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 10, 00:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$40.00Mar 9, 23:55 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Mar 9, 00:13 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 17
- Avg trade size
- $32.84
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 3, 00:34 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 22, 23:57 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.