Illustrious-Thunderbolt
0x456940d6e9f0a0ce53ee90adb83d7c18be5cfdb1
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
30
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-224.61
Realised
$4.11
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- YES
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?
242 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-24.18
- NO
Will Powell say "Inflation" 40+ times during December press conference?
115 shares @ 13.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Andrew Cuomo win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
93 shares @ 5.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Powell say "Trump" during January press conference?
87 shares @ 23.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
81 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-31.65
- YES
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO in 2025?
55 shares @ 18.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Powell say "Assumption" during January press conference?
50 shares @ 35.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-17.50
- YES
No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?
50 shares @ 11.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.50
- YES
Will Uber say "Market Share" during earnings call?
46 shares @ 43.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Powell say "Trump" during December press conference?
39 shares @ 12.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 15?$24.18Apr 7, 12:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by April 30, 2026?$3.60Apr 5, 13:05 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$21.41Apr 5, 13:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$7.47Apr 1, 18:16 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$13.84Apr 1, 17:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by April 30?$4.30Apr 1, 17:18 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$4.30Apr 1, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by May 31?$15.61Mar 5, 15:09 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$15.61Mar 5, 15:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 15?$13.70Mar 3, 19:29 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$13.70Feb 24, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?$12.79Feb 19, 00:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Percent" 25+ times during January press conference?$12.00Jan 28, 18:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Assumption" during January press conference?$5.60Jan 28, 17:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Assumption" during January press conference?$11.90Jan 28, 17:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Powell say "Trump" during January press conference?$20.00Jan 28, 17:40 UTC
- TRADESELLIsrael strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$5.60Jan 28, 17:40 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$20.90Jan 21, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?$26.50Jan 15, 10:30 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by January 23, 2026?$32.50Jan 15, 01:25 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $24.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 5, 17:41 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 7, 12:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".