Round-Picket
0x45698d80673499c318da6a08f97edc9a6276c0d3
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-11.1K
Realised
$2.45
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will xAI have the top AI model on March 31?
13345 shares @ 45.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.1K
- YES
Will xAI have the top AI model on June 30?
10368 shares @ 27.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2025$0.00
$-2.9K
- YES
Will xAI have the top AI model on April 30?
2676 shares @ 55.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-1.5K
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by March 31?
1600 shares @ 17.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2025$0.00
$-286.00
- YES
Will Trump end Department of Education in 2025?
294 shares @ 34.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Călin Georgescu advance to the Romanian Presidential Election Runoff?
250 shares @ 59.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2025$0.00
$-149.47
- YES
Trump Admin recommends removing fluoride from water by April 29?
213 shares @ 41.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2025$0.00
$-88.00
- YES
Will Trump cut corporate taxes in 2025?
182 shares @ 51.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-93.12
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by March 31?$15.04Mar 24, 01:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by March 31?$0.34Mar 24, 01:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by March 31?$32.54Mar 24, 01:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by March 31?$2.08Mar 24, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $75,000 by March 31?$112.00Mar 23, 00:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on April 30?$1.15Mar 22, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on April 30?$474.09Mar 22, 16:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on April 30?$6.90Mar 22, 16:30 UTC
- REWARD$3.43Mar 21, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on April 30?$27.51Mar 20, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on April 30?$7.15Mar 20, 04:33 UTC
- REWARD$5.01Mar 20, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$3.79Mar 19, 00:00 UTC
- REWARD$9.00Mar 18, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on April 30?$52.27Mar 17, 18:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on April 30?$4.30Mar 17, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on April 30?$11.00Mar 17, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on April 30?$11.00Mar 17, 15:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on April 30?$11.00Mar 17, 14:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill xAI have the top AI model on April 30?$11.00Mar 17, 14:51 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 43
- Avg trade size
- $45.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 14, 14:31 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 24, 01:41 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".