0x457270b7af0fb1925d2ae3c7d56f9d5cbc69678e
0x457270b7af0fb1925d2ae3c7d56f9d5cbc69678e
Wallet digest
Activity score
79/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
10
Open notional
$59.70
Total PnL
$-3.73
Realised
$-0.31
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will Mateo Kovačić score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
106 shares @ 18.8¢·now 29.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$30.77
$10.77
- YES
Will Emiliano Buendía score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
553 shares @ 3.6¢·now 2.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$14.66
$-5.34
- YES
Will Croatia win on 2026-06-17?
53 shares @ 19.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$9.74
$-0.26
- YES
Will Khalil Ayari score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
17 shares @ 12.0¢·now 14.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$2.42
$0.42
- YES
Will Antonio Rüdiger score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 18.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- NO
Will Cody Gakpo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6 shares @ 18.0¢·now 19.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.06
$0.06
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?
79 shares @ 3.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-3.02
- YES
Exact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco?
64 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-4.50
- QATAR
Spread: Qatar (-1.5)
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 13, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Exact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina?
18 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 12, 2026$0.00
$-0.61
Recent activity
- TRADESELLSpread: Morocco (-1.5)$1.49Jun 13, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Brazil 3 - 1 Morocco?$4.81Jun 13, 14:19 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$0.09Jun 12, 20:40 UTC
- TRADESELLExact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$0.08Jun 12, 20:40 UTC
- TRADESELLSpread: Canada (-1.5)$2.76Jun 12, 19:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Kaoru Mitoma score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.47Jun 12, 19:38 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lennart Kahl score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.08Jun 12, 19:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fermín López score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.07Jun 12, 19:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jeremie Frimpong score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.21Jun 12, 19:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Canada 0 - 1 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$1.60Jun 12, 19:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Cody Gakpo score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.06Jun 12, 13:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fermín López score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.02Jun 12, 13:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Emiliano Buendía score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$21.38Jun 12, 12:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mateo Kovačić score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$21.29Jun 12, 10:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Fermín López score a goal at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.95Jun 12, 10:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Croatia win on 2026-06-17?$10.64Jun 12, 10:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Morocco (-1.5)$2.14Jun 12, 10:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 5 to June 12, 2026?$3.28Jun 12, 10:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Canada 0 - 2 Bosnia-Herzegovina?$1.07Jun 12, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Canada (-1.5)$10.62Jun 12, 10:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 32
- Avg trade size
- $4.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 9, 13:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 21:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.