Parched-Blogger
0x45738c3b2953f1a57eca1cc3c855fcedf3aaaf6c
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
22
Open notional
$325.24
Total PnL
$-1.2K
Realised
$12.05
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 22- NO
US forces enter Iran by March 14?
248 shares @ 80.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$248.12
$48.12
- YES
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?
1321 shares @ 3.9¢·now 3.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$42.92
$-8.56
- NO
Will England win Group L in the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
116 shares @ 31.1¢·now 29.5¢·exp Jun 27, 2026$34.20
$-1.90
- YES
Will the US strike Venezuela next?
5058 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-115.87
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by January 31, 2026?
3125 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-100.00
- YES
Will Gold close between $4100 and $4200 at the end of 2025?
1117 shares @ 3.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-41.70
- YES
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by March 31, 2026?
820 shares @ 6.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-50.00
- NO
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?
778 shares @ 66.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-515.35
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after January 2026 meeting?
595 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-25.00
- YES
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?
570 shares @ 18.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-106.96
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 10?$2.66Mar 8, 00:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 14?$200.00Mar 8, 00:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?$202.66Mar 8, 00:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 8?$705.96Mar 7, 17:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$100.00Mar 7, 17:13 UTC
- REDEEMKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?$300.00Mar 7, 17:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?$505.96Mar 7, 17:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?$10.00Jan 24, 19:12 UTC
- REDEEMUS strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?$10.00Jan 15, 05:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China unban Bitcoin by 2027?$36.48Jan 12, 18:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?$9.00Jan 12, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Venezuela next?$0.95Jan 12, 12:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Venezuela next?$0.08Jan 12, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Venezuela next?$0.36Jan 12, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Venezuela next?$0.08Jan 12, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Venezuela next?$0.35Jan 12, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Venezuela next?$0.08Jan 12, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Venezuela next?$0.32Jan 12, 12:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Venezuela next?$0.32Jan 12, 12:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Venezuela next?$0.08Jan 12, 12:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $27.18
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 12, 12:07 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 8, 00:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.